← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, May 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.47 |
| Magdeburg win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt −1.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.42 |
| Under | 32% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 36' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 687.00 | 837.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1602.96 | 1441.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.67 | 16.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 64.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 26.89 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |