← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Hannover win | 25% | 3.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Darmstadt +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 31' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 43' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 46' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 59' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 59' | 🟨 | Filip Stojilković · Darmstadt |
| 86' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 86' | 🟥 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| coach days | 317.00 | 682.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1457.53 | 1615.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.10 | -9.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 40.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |