← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 13, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 25% | 3.92 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Karol Mets · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 60' | 🟨 | Daniel Ginczek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 76' | 🟨 | Matthias Zimmermann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 81' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 2 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 466.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1588.56 | 1558.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.53 | 11.35 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 26.48 |
| state index | 0.62 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |