← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Bielefeld win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Bielefeld +0 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Jomaine Consbruch · Bielefeld |
| 35' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Kaiserslautern |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lukas Klünter · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Andrés Andrade · Bielefeld |
| 88' | 🟨 | Theo Corbeanu · Bielefeld |
| 88' | ⚽ | Lex-Tyger Lobinger · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jomaine Consbruch · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 377.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1499.10 | 1468.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.05 | -42.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| league points | 45.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 27.54 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |