← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.38 |
| Under | 30% | 3.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 50' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | ⚽ | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 74' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 75' | 🟨 | Lewis Holtby · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 589.00 | 1197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1464.99 | 1487.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.06 | 10.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 40.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.51 | 28.75 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |