← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, May 12, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Nurnberg win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 34' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 34' | ⚽ (og) | Jannes Horn · Magdeburg |
| 44' | 🟨 | Florian Flick · Nurnberg |
| 54' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Nurnberg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Taylan Duman · Nurnberg |
| 81' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 830.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1443.97 | 1429.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.95 | -2.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| league points | 39.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.15 | 25.28 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |