← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Magdeburg win | 19% | 5.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −1 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Heidenheim −1 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Lennard Maloney · Heidenheim |
| 40' | 🟨 | Florian Pick · Heidenheim |
| 64' | 🟨 | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5727.00 | 825.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1616.13 | 1438.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.19 | 26.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| league points | 60.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 25.94 |
| state index | 0.88 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |