← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 4' | ⚽ | Mats Møller Dæhli · Nurnberg |
| 10' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Kaiserslautern |
| 21' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 21' | 🟨 | Aaron Opoku · Kaiserslautern |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 40' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 50' | ⚽ | Kwadwo Duah · Nurnberg |
| 88' | ⚽ | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tim Handwerker · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 95.00 | 371.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1429.56 | 1499.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.83 | -10.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 28.64 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |