← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 6, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Adam Dźwigała · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 57' | ⚽ | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 84' | ⚽ | David Otto · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Seydel · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Beifus · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 674.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1639.69 | 1564.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.79 | -0.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.76 |
| league points | 64.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.56 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.86 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |