← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 6, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Regensburg win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 40' | 🟨 | Kevin Schumacher · Hansa Rostock |
| 68' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 79' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 66.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1389.19 | 1379.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.68 | -17.41 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 32.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.47 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 26.15 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.62 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |