← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 6, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.46 |
| Hannover win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hannover −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.41 |
| Under | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 12' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 13' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 42' | ⚽ | Louis Schaub · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1190.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1479.57 | 1465.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.61 | 21.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 39.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |