← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 27% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Holstein Kiel +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.53 |
| Under | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jannik Müller · Darmstadt |
| 21' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Simon Lorenz · Darmstadt |
| 26' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 52' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 576.00 | 668.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1489.93 | 1625.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.70 | 15.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| league points | 40.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 26.98 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |