← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 2.63 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Matondo-Merveille Papela · SV Sandhausen |
| 29' | 🟨 | Kemal Ademi · SV Sandhausen |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
| 64' | ⚽ | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 85' | 🟥 | Leon Guwara · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matondo-Merveille Papela · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 29.00 | 2129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1375.94 | 1388.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.30 | 4.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.78 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 26.35 |
| state index | -1.17 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.26 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |