← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Nurnberg win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Nurnberg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 49' | ⚽ | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 67' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 70' | ⚽ | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 302.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1451.29 | 1443.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.48 | 7.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| league points | 37.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 26.44 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |