← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Bielefeld win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Bielefeld |
| 20' | 🟨 | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 33' | 🟨 | Andrés Andrade · Bielefeld |
| 53' | ⚽ | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 69' | ⚽ | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jomaine Consbruch · Bielefeld |
| 74' | 🟨 | Connor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 149.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1558.45 | 1476.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.45 | -26.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| league points | 47.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 27.97 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -1.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |