← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Magdeburg win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 74' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 77' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
| 77' | 🟨 | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tatsuya Ito · Magdeburg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 817.00 | 667.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 4.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1424.37 | 1617.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.37 | -7.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| league points | 35.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.70 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |