← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Apr 28, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Braunschweig win | 19% | 5.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.75 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Julian Justvan · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 45' | ⚽ | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 51' | ⚽ | Sirlord Conteh · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 53' | ⚽ | Anthony Ujah · Braunschweig |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 64' | 🟨 | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Braunschweig |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| ⚽ |
| Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 666.00 | 696.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1538.12 | 1412.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.57 | 29.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 47.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.67 | -1.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 27.28 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | -1.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |