← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Lex-Tyger Lobinger · Kaiserslautern |
| 61' | 🟨 | Philipp Hercher · Kaiserslautern |
| 74' | 🟥 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 78' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erik Durm · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 2122.00 | 357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1386.34 | 1516.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.22 | -6.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 29.27 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |