← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 31% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 50' | ⚽ | Nils Fröling · Hansa Rostock |
| 66' | ⚽ | Dennis Dressel · Hansa Rostock |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marco John · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 52.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.94 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1355.53 | 1496.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.42 | 17.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 25.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.17 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 25.98 |
| state index | -1.65 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.67 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |