← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 53% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Hannover win | 22% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 22' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 41' | 🟨 | Marc Rzatkowski · Bielefeld |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 54' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 55' | ⚽ | Louis Schaub · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Bright Arrey-Mbi · Hannover |
| 86' | 🟥 | Yannik Lührs · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 52.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1496.70 | 1431.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.15 | -26.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.49 | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.74 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |