← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Apr 21, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 45% | 2.15 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 29% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Jonas David · Hamburger SV |
| 26' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 36' | ⚽ | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · Hamburger SV |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jonas David · Hamburger SV |
| 48' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 49' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 55' | 🟨 | Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Eric Smith · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 71' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| ⚽ |
| Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 78' | ⚽ (og) | Jakov Medić · Hamburger SV |
| 79' | ⚽ | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 659.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.52 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1610.02 | 1565.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.53 | 22.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| league points | 53.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 26.60 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |