← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 16, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Bielefeld win | 30% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 53' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 63' | ⚽ | Simone Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 75' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 75' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 80' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · Bielefeld |
| 83' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 22 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1170.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1477.60 | 1510.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.41 | 25.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.68 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 27.89 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -1.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |