← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 16, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.25 |
| Braunschweig win | 18% | 5.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Maurice Multhaup · Braunschweig |
| 25' | ⚽ | Manuel Wintzheimer · Braunschweig |
| 53' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · Braunschweig |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jakov Medić · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anton Donkor · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 136.00 | 684.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1581.38 | 1408.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.47 | 15.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 47.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 27.18 |
| state index | 1.14 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |