← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 16, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Darmstadt win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Iyoha · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 51' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Iyoha · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 79' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel · Darmstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Seydel · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 13 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 439.00 | 654.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1547.55 | 1631.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.09 | -7.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| league points | 44.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |