← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hamburger SV +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 29' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nicolas de Préville · Kaiserslautern |
| 71' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 76' | 🟨 | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 85' | ⚽ | Aaron Opoku · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 349.00 | 653.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 4.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1498.63 | 1627.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.99 | -10.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.99 | 26.20 |
| state index | -0.63 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |