← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Apr 14, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Regensburg win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Max Christiansen · Greuther Furth |
| 48' | ⚽ | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 287.00 | 2113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1491.23 | 1392.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.18 | 15.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| league points | 33.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 36.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 26.40 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |