← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Apr 14, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Hannover win | 29% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Jan Schöppner · Heidenheim |
| 31' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
| 35' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 43' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 84' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 287.00 | 5704.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.87 | 1579.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.82 | 7.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 34.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 26.90 |
| state index | -0.63 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |