← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 36% | 2.82 |
| Bielefeld win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Andrés Andrade · Bielefeld |
| 19' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 23' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Bielefeld |
| 48' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Iyoha · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 60' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 84' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 39.00 | 432.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1511.24 | 1546.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.95 | 29.36 |
| eye test v1 | 1.09 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 28.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.70 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |