← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Apr 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Bielefeld win | 28% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Frederik Jäkel · Bielefeld |
| 29' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 32' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 34' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · Bielefeld |
| 50' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 55' | ⚽ | Masaya Okugawa · Bielefeld |
| 67' | ⚽ | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Holstein Kiel |
| 70' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Bielefeld |
| 78' | 🟨 | Simon Lorenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 89' | 🟨 | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 548.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1496.68 | 1499.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.85 | -0.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 14.98 | 15.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 27.67 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |