← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Heidenheim win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Heidenheim +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
| 41' | 🟨 | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kevin Sessa · Heidenheim |
| 53' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Kaiserslautern |
| 75' | ⚽ | Florian Pick · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicolas de Préville · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 335.00 | 5691.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1509.47 | 1592.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.18 | 41.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 39.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 15.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.21 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |