← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.89 |
| Braunschweig win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Braunschweig |
| 18' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 22' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 54' | 🟨 | Nathan De Medina · Braunschweig |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 68' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 69' | 🟥 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1155.00 | 669.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1481.18 | 1393.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.42 | -17.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 34.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 14.73 | 12.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.30 | 28.37 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |