← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Regensburg win | 14% | 7.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Regensburg −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 11' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 22' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 23' | ⚽ (og) | Prince-Osei Owusu · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 121.00 | 2100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1564.78 | 1397.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.68 | 14.75 |
| eye test v1 | 1.07 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 12.94 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 25.37 |
| state index | 1.10 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -1.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |