← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Mar 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Nurnberg win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ (og) | Christopher Schindler · Darmstadt |
| 47' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 79' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kwadwo Duah · Nurnberg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 58.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1439.39 | 1618.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.52 | -15.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 29.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 12.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |