← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Mar 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Hamburger SV win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Hamburger SV +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Jordy de Wijs · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 5' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 21' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 28' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 47' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 54' | 🟨 | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | ⚽ (og) | Christoph Klarer · Hamburger SV |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| Francisco Montero · Hamburger SV |
| 88' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Hamburger SV |
| 88' | 🟥 | Francisco Montero · Hamburger SV |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 423.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 4.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1546.47 | 1619.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.44 | -11.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 12.17 | 13.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 25.96 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |