← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 47% | 2.02 |
| Magdeburg win | 28% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lukas Petkov · Greuther Furth |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 64' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 69' | ⚽ (og) | Daniel Heber · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | ⚽ | Lukas Petkov · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 260.00 | 775.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1473.00 | 1424.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.82 | 40.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 27.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |