← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Nurnberg win | 26% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Masaya Okugawa · Bielefeld |
| 23' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 57' | ⚽ | Kwadwo Duah · Nurnberg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Bastian Oczipka · Bielefeld |
| 78' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Kanuric · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 16.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1503.11 | 1435.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.64 | 9.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 47.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |