← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Karlsruhe win | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.94 |
| Over | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 16' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 23' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 24' | 🟨 | Kevin Müller · Heidenheim |
| 38' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 49' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 62' | ⚽ | Florian Pick · Heidenheim |
| 63' | 🟨 | Florian Pick · Heidenheim |
| 88' | ⚽ | Kevin Sessa · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5676.00 | 1140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1582.60 | 1491.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.47 | 72.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| league points | 47.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 28.27 |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |