← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Mar 12, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 17' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 32' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 43' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Hamburger SV |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 50' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 80' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟥 | Francisco Montero · Hamburger SV |
| 89' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1135.00 | 619.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1471.81 | 1644.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.20 | 21.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 31.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 26.05 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |