← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Magdeburg win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 58' | 🟨 | Luc Castaignos · Magdeburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marcel Hoffmeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 768.00 | 618.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1422.14 | 1547.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.04 | 20.38 |
| eye test v1 | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 27.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 25.37 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |