β 2. Bundesliga 2022 Β· Fri, Mar 10, 05:30 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 20% | 4.94 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen β0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Kaiserslautern β0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | β½ | Ahmed Kutucu Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 35' | β½ | Boris Tomiak Β· Kaiserslautern |
| 41' | π¨ | Hendrick Zuck Β· Kaiserslautern |
| 60' | π¨ | Ahmed Kutucu Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 74' | π¨ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 76' | β½ (pen) | Kevin Kraus Β· Kaiserslautern |
| 77' | π¨ | Franck Evina Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 80' | β½ | Franck Evina Β· SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 313.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1523.31 | 1392.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.98 | -47.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -1.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 29.16 | 29.08 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.66 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |