← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Hannover win | 22% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 16' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Hannover |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andreas Linde · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 54' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 247.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1482.05 | 1454.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.67 | -53.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 27.00 |
| state index | -0.04 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |