← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Mar 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| SV Sandhausen +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Arne Sicker · SV Sandhausen |
| 47' | ⚽ | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · SV Sandhausen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Simon Lorenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | ⚽ | Franck Evina · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 31.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1390.58 | 1508.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.85 | -6.16 |
| eye test v1 | -1.61 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.87 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| league points | 19.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.65 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 26.80 |
| state index | -1.24 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |