← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Mar 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 |
| Nurnberg win | 14% | 6.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nurnberg −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Jean-Luc Dompé · Hamburger SV |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 66' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 611.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1638.38 | 1430.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.23 | -13.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| league points | 45.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |