← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Mar 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Magdeburg win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 30' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 33' | 🟨 | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 41' | ⚽ | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 65' | ⚽ | Tatsuya Ito · Magdeburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Philipp Klement · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 760.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1403.84 | 1541.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.91 | 18.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 24.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 29.33 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |