← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 37% | 2.66 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 31' | ⚽ | Maximilian Rohr · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 70' | 🟨 | Bashir Humphreys · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 512.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1508.68 | 1559.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.90 | 30.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | 1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.81 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |