← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 21% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Chima Okoroji · SV Sandhausen |
| 14' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · SV Sandhausen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alexander Esswein · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Kwadwo Duah · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.08 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1423.30 | 1398.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.65 | -33.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| league points | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -1.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 29.11 |
| state index | -0.53 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |