← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 24, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 |
| Regensburg win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · Regensburg |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 78' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1119.00 | 2064.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1449.68 | 1383.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.85 | -29.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 25.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.06 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.00 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |