← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 24, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.26 |
| Braunschweig win | 18% | 5.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 24' | 🟨 | Linus Gechter · Braunschweig |
| 25' | ⚽ | Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 32' | 🟨 | Matthias Zimmermann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 62' | ⚽ (og) | Florian Kastenmeier · Braunschweig |
| 70' | 🟨 | Niko Kijewski · Braunschweig |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniel Ginczek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jona Niemiec · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 388.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Nathan De Medina · Braunschweig |
| 633.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 3.60 |
| elo | 1475.21 | 1361.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.11 | -8.81 |
| eye test v1 | 1.20 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 32.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |