← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Feb 19, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 |
| Bielefeld win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bielefeld −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 51' | ⚽ | Bastian Oczipka · Bielefeld |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lukas Klünter · Bielefeld |
| 57' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jonas David · Hamburger SV |
| 78' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 598.00 | 202.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1631.56 | 1500.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.95 | 13.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 26.62 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |