← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Regensburg win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Regensburg +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 65' | 🟨 | Minos Gouras · Regensburg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Aygün Yıldırım · Regensburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
| 84' | 🟨 | Leon Guwara · Regensburg |
| 88' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.06 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 2058.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1382.36 | 1469.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.56 | -21.92 |
| eye test v1 | -1.48 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.67 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 26.48 |
| state index | -1.12 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |